Avellino vs Sampdoria: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
The Footlab model makes Avellino the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Sampdoria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avellino vs Sampdoria?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Avellino (1,865) and Sampdoria (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avellino have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sampdoria have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Monza(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torino(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Parma(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Novara(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Taverne(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Avellino win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sampdoria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Sampdoria 2-1 Avellino | Serie B |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Avellino 2-1 Sampdoria | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Sampdoria vs Avellino on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avellino score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sampdoria score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sampdoria | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avellino vs Sampdoria?
- The Footlab model makes Avellino the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Sampdoria.
- Where and when is Avellino vs Sampdoria played?
- Avellino vs Sampdoria is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.