Catanzaro vs Mantova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
The Footlab model makes Catanzaro the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Mantova. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Mantova?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Catanzaro (1,931) and Mantova (1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catanzaro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mantova have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Paradiso(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2026 | Monza(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 6-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Catanzaro win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Mantova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Catanzaro 2-0 Mantova | Serie B |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Mantova 1-3 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| May 13, 2025 | Mantova 0-0 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Catanzaro 2-2 Mantova | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Catanzaro score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mantova score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mantova | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Catanzaro sit 14th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Mantova sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mantova | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Catanzaro vs Mantova?
- The Footlab model makes Catanzaro the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Mantova.
- Where and when is Catanzaro vs Mantova played?
- Catanzaro vs Mantova is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.