Aves vs Nacional: result 2-3 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 2, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
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What was the result of Aves vs Nacional?
Nacional won 2-3 on December 2, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 21′Vítor GonçalvesNacional
- 32′Carlos PonckAves
- 65′João CamachoNacional (pen.)
- 84′B. RóchezNacional
- 88′Mama BaldéAves
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aves have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Nacional have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2018 | Cova De Piedade(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Rio Ave(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 5, 2018 | Chaves(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Sacavenense(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | Maritimo(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 5, 2018 | Rio Ave(away) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2018 | Portimonense(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Lusitano FCV(away) | 3-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 5, 2018 | Tondela(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aves score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aves | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy