Avia Świdnik vs Górnik Łęczna: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Świdnik, Świdnik
The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avia Świdnik vs Górnik Łęczna?
Avia Świdnik starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avia Świdnik have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Górnik Łęczna have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(away) | 0-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Avia Świdnik win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Górnik Łęczna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna 0-1 Avia Świdnik | II Liga - East |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna 1-1 Avia Świdnik | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Avia Świdnik 0-7 Górnik Łęczna | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Górnik Łęczna vs Avia Świdnik on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avia Świdnik score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avia Świdnik | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Górnik Łęczna | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avia Świdnik sit 5th in II Liga - East (9 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Łęczna sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Avia Świdnik | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avia Świdnik vs Górnik Łęczna?
- The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Górnik Łęczna.
- Where and when is Avia Świdnik vs Górnik Łęczna played?
- Avia Świdnik vs Górnik Łęczna is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Świdnik, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Chojniczanka ChojnicevsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Dec 5, 2026Tychy 71vsStal Stalowa Wola
- Dec 5, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsZnicz Pruszków
- Dec 5, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsSokół Kleczew
- Dec 5, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsResovia Rzeszów
- Dec 5, 2026Świt SkolwinvsHutnik Kraków
- Dec 5, 2026Zawisza BydgoszczvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Dec 5, 2026Lechia Zielona GóravsOlimpia Grudziądz