Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Zielona Góra
The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Olimpia Grudziądz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Lechia Zielona Góra (1,900) and Olimpia Grudziądz (1,924).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Zielona Góra have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Olimpia Grudziądz have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 6-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 5-3 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lechia Zielona Góra win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Olimpia Grudziądz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra 2-2 Olimpia Grudziądz | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Zielona Góra | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Olimpia Grudziądz | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 11 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Olimpia Grudziądz.
- Where and when is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz played?
- Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Chojniczanka ChojnicevsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Dec 5, 2026Tychy 71vsStal Stalowa Wola
- Dec 5, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsZnicz Pruszków
- Dec 5, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsSokół Kleczew
- Dec 5, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsResovia Rzeszów
- Dec 5, 2026Świt SkolwinvsHutnik Kraków
- Dec 5, 2026Zawisza BydgoszczvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Dec 5, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsGórnik Łęczna