Avilés Stadium vs Siero: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Muro de Zaro, Avilés
The Footlab model makes Avilés Stadium the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Siero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avilés Stadium vs Siero?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Avilés Stadium (1,648) and Siero (1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avilés Stadium have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Siero have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Titánico(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Llanes(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tuilla(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Navarro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Avilés Stadium win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Siero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Siero 0-0 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Avilés Stadium 0-1 Siero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 29, 2021 | Avilés Stadium 0-2 Siero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Siero 0-2 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Siero vs Avilés Stadium on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avilés Stadium score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Siero score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avilés Stadium | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Siero | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avilés Stadium sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (33 points from 34 matches) and Siero sit 10th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Siero | 34 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | 42 |
| 13 | Avilés Stadium | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 21 | 40 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avilés Stadium vs Siero?
- The Footlab model makes Avilés Stadium the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Siero.
- Where and when is Avilés Stadium vs Siero played?
- Avilés Stadium vs Siero is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Muro de Zaro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.