San Martín vs Avilés Stadium: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Florán, San Martín del Rey Aurelio
The Footlab AI model makes San Martín the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Avilés Stadium. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Martín vs Avilés Stadium?
San Martín starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,758 vs 1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Martín vs Avilés Stadium
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Martín
Not enough data to predict the San Martín lineup.
Avilés Stadium
Not enough data to predict the Avilés Stadium lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martín have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Avilés Stadium have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llanes(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 San Martín win, 1 draw, 2 Avilés Stadium wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Avilés Stadium 0-0 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | San Martín 2-0 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | San Martín 0-1 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Avilés Stadium 1-0 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Avilés Stadium vs San Martín on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Martín score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Avilés Stadium score 0.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martín | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Avilés Stadium | 0.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Martín sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (15 points from 9 matches) and Avilés Stadium sit 14th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Martín | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 14 | Avilés Stadium | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 8 |
A question about San Martín vs Avilés Stadium?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Martín vs Avilés Stadium?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Martín the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Avilés Stadium.
- Where and when is San Martín vs Avilés Stadium played?
- San Martín vs Avilés Stadium is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Florán, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.