Avranches vs Carquefou: result 1-0 and analysis
National 2 - Group DRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 22, 2012 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade René Fenouillère, Avranches
Full time
What was the result of Avranches vs Carquefou?
Avranches won 1-0 on February 22, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 24′T. VauvyAvranches
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avranches have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Carquefou have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | Lorient II(home) | 5-2 | National 2 - Group D |
| Jan 29, 2012 | Le Havre II(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group D |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Le Mans II(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group D |
| Jan 7, 2012 | Luçon(away) | 1-2 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Les Herbiers(home) | 3-1 | Coupe de France |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | Viry Châtillon(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group D |
| Jan 28, 2012 | La Vitréenne(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group D |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Pontivy GSI(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group D |
| Dec 17, 2011 | Les Herbiers(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group D |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Vendée Fontenay(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Avranches score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Carquefou score 1.3 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avranches | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Carquefou | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy