Avranches vs Stade Briochin: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade René Fenouillère, Avranches
The Footlab model makes Avranches the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Stade Briochin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avranches vs Stade Briochin?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Avranches (1,749) and Stade Briochin (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avranches have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Stade Briochin have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bordeaux(home) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Granville(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Quevilly(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Aubagne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Avranches win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Stade Briochin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2025 | Stade Briochin 3-2 Avranches | National 2 - Group B |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Avranches 1-1 Stade Briochin | National 2 - Group B |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Avranches 1-0 Stade Briochin | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 26, 2022 | Stade Briochin 0-1 Avranches | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Avranches 2-5 Stade Briochin | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Stade Briochin 2-1 Avranches | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Briochin vs Avranches on May 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Avranches score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Briochin score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avranches | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Stade Briochin | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avranches sit 1st in National 2 - Group B (3 points from 1 matches) and Stade Briochin sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avranches | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Stade Briochin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avranches vs Stade Briochin?
- The Footlab model makes Avranches the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Stade Briochin.
- Where and when is Avranches vs Stade Briochin played?
- Avranches vs Stade Briochin is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade René Fenouillère, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.