Avranches vs Châteaubriant: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 30Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade René Fenouillère, Avranches
The Footlab model makes Avranches the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Châteaubriant. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avranches vs Châteaubriant?
Avranches starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avranches have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Châteaubriant have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bordeaux(home) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Granville(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Bayonne(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Montlouis(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Avranches win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Châteaubriant win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Châteaubriant 0-3 Avranches | National 2 - Group B |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Châteaubriant 1-1 Avranches | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Avranches 2-0 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Châteaubriant 1-1 Avranches | National 2 - Group B |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Avranches 2-1 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Châteaubriant vs Avranches on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avranches score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Châteaubriant score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avranches | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Châteaubriant | 0.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avranches sit 1st in National 2 - Group B (3 points from 1 matches) and Châteaubriant sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avranches | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Châteaubriant | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avranches vs Châteaubriant?
- The Footlab model makes Avranches the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Châteaubriant.
- Where and when is Avranches vs Châteaubriant played?
- Avranches vs Châteaubriant is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade René Fenouillère, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.