Avranches vs Châteaubriant: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 30Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade René Fenouillère, Avranches
The Footlab AI model makes Avranches the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Châteaubriant. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,603 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avranches vs Châteaubriant?
Avranches starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,671).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avranches vs Châteaubriant
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avranches
4-3-3- 7V. Crehin
- 14K. Herbin
- 17P. Terrien
- 25J. Pi
- 8C. Boateng
- 6N. Françoise
- 3P. Bourdin
- 26É. Dudouit
- 24S. Mazikou
- 4B. Mbaye
- 1A. Beuve
Châteaubriant
Not enough data to predict the Châteaubriant lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avranches have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Châteaubriant have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Avranches wins, 2 draws, 0 Châteaubriant wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Châteaubriant 0-3 Avranches | National 2 - Group B |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Châteaubriant 1-1 Avranches | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Avranches 2-0 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Châteaubriant 1-1 Avranches | National 2 - Group B |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Avranches 2-1 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Châteaubriant vs Avranches on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avranches score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Châteaubriant score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avranches | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Châteaubriant | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avranches sit 4th in National 2 - Group B (11 points from 6 matches) and Châteaubriant sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avranches | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 15 | Châteaubriant | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
A question about Avranches vs Châteaubriant?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avranches vs Châteaubriant?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avranches the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Châteaubriant.
- Where and when is Avranches vs Châteaubriant played?
- Avranches vs Châteaubriant is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade René Fenouillère, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.