Tarbes vs Saumur: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 30Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, Tarbes
The Footlab AI model makes Tarbes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Saumur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tarbes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarbes vs Saumur?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Tarbes (1,738) and Saumur (1,666).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tarbes vs Saumur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tarbes
4-3-3- 9Y. Fellrath
- 6B. Ait Malek
- 11V. Delanys
- 7Sofiane El Bekri
- 33Alexandre Amorin
- 22M. Cato
- 31A. Ben Aicha
- 2J. Willock
- 4P. Bentayou
- 17Faris Sinare
- 1T. Navaux
Saumur
Not enough data to predict the Saumur lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarbes have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Saumur have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Granville(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Tarbes wins, 1 draw, 0 Saumur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saumur 0-0 Tarbes | National 2 - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarbes score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Saumur score 0.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarbes | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Saumur | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarbes sit 10th in National 2 - Group B (9 points from 7 matches) and Saumur sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tarbes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 | Saumur | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Tarbes vs Saumur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarbes vs Saumur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tarbes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Saumur.
- Where and when is Tarbes vs Saumur played?
- Tarbes vs Saumur is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.