Ayema vs ASPAC: prediction and stats
Championnat NationalRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Pobè, Pobè
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 28% for Ayema, 36% for a draw, 35% for ASPAC. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayema vs ASPAC?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Ayema (1,735) and ASPAC (1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayema have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; ASPAC have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Hodio(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Kraké(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Dragons(away) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Bani Gansè(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| May 22, 2026 | Espoir Savalou(away) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Cavaliers(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Loto Popo(away) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | ASVO(home) | 2-0 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Dynamo Abomey(away) | 2-1 | Championnat National |
| May 23, 2026 | Damissa(home) | 4-1 | Championnat National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ayema win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 ASPAC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ayema 0-1 ASPAC | Championnat National |
| Oct 4, 2025 | ASPAC 0-0 Ayema | Championnat National |
| May 11, 2025 | ASPAC 0-2 Ayema | Championnat National |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Ayema 1-1 ASPAC | Championnat National |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Ayema 1-1 ASPAC | Championnat National |
| Feb 21, 2024 | ASPAC 0-0 Ayema | Championnat National |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayema score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; ASPAC score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayema | 1.0 | 0.5 | 9 | 2/15 | 1/15 |
| ASPAC | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayema sit 12th in Championnat National (39 points from 33 matches) and ASPAC sit 3rd (59 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ASPAC | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 46 | 22 | 59 |
| 12 | Ayema | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayema vs ASPAC?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 28% for Ayema, 36% for a draw, 35% for ASPAC.
- Where and when is Ayema vs ASPAC played?
- Ayema vs ASPAC is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Pobè, in the Championnat National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.