Buffles vs Dragons: prediction and stats
Championnat NationalRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal de Parakou, Parakou
The Footlab AI model makes Buffles the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Dragons. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buffles vs Dragons?
Buffles starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,767 vs 1,625).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buffles vs Dragons
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buffles
4-3-3- 9H. Okpala
- 17C. Onwubuchie
- 11Abayomi Olorunshola Ayinla
- 6A. Linkpon
- 11K. Gani
- 5G. Ahoudo
- 15O. Ajayi
- 12F. Gbemaito
- 18K. Dossa
- 13Kokou Audrey Ganke
- 16S. Obassa
Dragons
Not enough data to predict the Dragons lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buffles have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Dragons have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Djeffa(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Loto Popo(away) | 2-0 | Championnat National |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ayema(home) | 3-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Dragons(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Bani Gansè(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Panthères(home) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AS Cotonou(away) | 0-2 | Championnat National |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Coton Sport Ouidah(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Buffles(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Cavaliers(away) | 1-2 | Championnat National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Buffles win, 3 draws, 2 Dragons wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Dragons 1-1 Buffles | Championnat National |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Buffles 1-2 Dragons | Championnat National |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Dragons 0-0 Buffles | Championnat National |
| Mar 8, 2023 | Buffles 2-2 Dragons | Championnat National |
| Jun 9, 2021 | Dragons 1-0 Buffles | Championnat National |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Buffles 1-0 Dragons | Championnat National |
How many goals should we expect?
Buffles score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dragons score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffles | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Dragons | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buffles sit 5th in Championnat National (50 points from 33 matches) and Dragons sit 14th (36 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Buffles | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
| 14 | Dragons | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 44 | 36 |
A question about Buffles vs Dragons?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buffles vs Dragons?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buffles the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Dragons.
- Where and when is Buffles vs Dragons played?
- Buffles vs Dragons is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal de Parakou, in the Championnat National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.