Ayia Napa vs Akritas: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Ayia Napa, Agia Napa
The Footlab model makes Akritas the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ayia Napa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayia Napa vs Akritas?
Akritas starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,685 vs 1,560).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayia Napa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Akritas have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Doxa(away) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 6-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(home) | 5-5 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Karmiotissa(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ayia Napa win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Akritas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Akritas 3-0 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Akritas 1-2 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Ayia Napa 0-4 Akritas | 2. Division |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Akritas 1-2 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Apr 14, 2021 | Akritas 1-1 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Ayia Napa 0-2 Akritas | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayia Napa score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Akritas score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayia Napa | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Akritas | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ayia Napa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 28 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayia Napa vs Akritas?
- The Footlab model makes Akritas the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ayia Napa.
- Where and when is Ayia Napa vs Akritas played?
- Ayia Napa vs Akritas is played on January 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Ayia Napa, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.