Ethnikos Achna vs Ermis: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Dasaki Achnas, Dasaki Achnas
The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Achna the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Ermis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ethnikos Achna vs Ermis?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Ethnikos Achna (1,697) and Ermis (1,604).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethnikos Achna have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Ermis have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Assias(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASPIS(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | AEP Polemidion(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Anagennisi Deryneia(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Ethnikos Achna win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ermis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2022 | Ethnikos Achna 1-2 Ermis | 2. Division |
| May 21, 2021 | Ethnikos Achna 2-0 Ermis | 1. Division |
| Apr 6, 2021 | Ermis 1-2 Ethnikos Achna | 1. Division |
| Dec 24, 2020 | Ermis 0-0 Ethnikos Achna | 1. Division |
| Sep 14, 2020 | Ethnikos Achna 0-2 Ermis | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Ethnikos Achna vs Ermis on Oct 21, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Ethnikos Achna score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ermis score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethnikos Achna | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ermis | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ethnikos Achna vs Ermis?
- The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Achna the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Ermis.
- Where and when is Ethnikos Achna vs Ermis played?
- Ethnikos Achna vs Ermis is played on January 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Dasaki Achnas, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.