Ayia Napa vs Anagennisi Deryneia: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Ayia Napa, Agia Napa
The Footlab model makes Anagennisi Deryneia the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ayia Napa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayia Napa vs Anagennisi Deryneia?
Anagennisi Deryneia starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,704 vs 1,561).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayia Napa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Anagennisi Deryneia have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Doxa(away) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 6-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(home) | 5-5 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Karmiotissa(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 22, 2026 | AEN(away) | 4-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ethnikos Assias(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ermis(home) | 3-3 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ayia Napa win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Anagennisi Deryneia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Anagennisi Deryneia 3-1 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Ayia Napa 1-0 Anagennisi Deryneia | 2. Division |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Anagennisi Deryneia 1-1 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Anagennisi Deryneia 2-0 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Ayia Napa 0-1 Anagennisi Deryneia | 2. Division |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Anagennisi Deryneia 0-3 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ayia Napa on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ayia Napa score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Anagennisi Deryneia score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayia Napa | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Anagennisi Deryneia | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ayia Napa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 28 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayia Napa vs Anagennisi Deryneia?
- The Footlab model makes Anagennisi Deryneia the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ayia Napa.
- Where and when is Ayia Napa vs Anagennisi Deryneia played?
- Ayia Napa vs Anagennisi Deryneia is played on January 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Ayia Napa, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.