Digenis Morphou vs Ermis: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Makareio Stadio, Lefkosía
The Footlab model makes Digenis Morphou the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ermis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Digenis Morphou vs Ermis?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Digenis Morphou (1,583) and Ermis (1,604).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Digenis Morphou have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ermis have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | AE Zakakiou(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Iraklis Yerolakkou(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Spartakos Kitiou(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Halkanoras(home) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Assias(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASPIS(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | AEP Polemidion(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Anagennisi Deryneia(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Digenis Morphou win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ermis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | Ermis 0-3 Digenis Morphou | 2. Division |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Digenis Morphou 1-0 Ermis | 2. Division |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Digenis Morphou 2-1 Ermis | 2. Division |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Ermis 4-2 Digenis Morphou | 2. Division |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Digenis Morphou 0-1 Ermis | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Ermis vs Digenis Morphou on Mar 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Digenis Morphou score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ermis score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digenis Morphou | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ermis | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Digenis Morphou | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Digenis Morphou vs Ermis?
- The Footlab model makes Digenis Morphou the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ermis.
- Where and when is Digenis Morphou vs Ermis played?
- Digenis Morphou vs Ermis is played on January 2, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Makareio Stadio, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.