Ayr Utd vs Elgin City: result 4-1 and analysis
FA Cup5th RoundKick-off on February 11, 2023 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
Full time
What was the result of Ayr Utd vs Elgin City?
Ayr Utd won 4-1 on February 11, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 41′K. HesterElgin City
- 90′F. BrydenAyr Utd
- 94′B. DempseyAyr Utd (pen.)
- 103′D. AkinyemiAyr Utd
- 106′D. AkinyemiAyr Utd
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Elgin City have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2023 | Queen's Park(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2023 | Cove Rangers(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Cove Rangers(away) | 5-0 | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Arbroath(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | Albion Rovers(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Drumchapel United(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Jan 7, 2023 | East Fife(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ayr Utd win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Elgin City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2022 | Ayr Utd 0-0 Elgin City | League Cup |
| Mar 23, 2021 | Elgin City 0-4 Ayr Utd | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Elgin City score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Elgin City | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy