Ayr Utd vs Morton: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 28, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
Full time
What was the result of Ayr Utd vs Morton?
Ayr Utd won 1-0 on September 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 66′Jay HendersonAyr Utd (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Morton have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2024 | Queen's Park(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Partick(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Raith Rovers(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Dunfermline(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Raith Rovers(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2024 | Airdrie United(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Queen's Park(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Cowdenbeath(away) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Falkirk(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Livingston(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ayr Utd win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Morton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | Ayr Utd 1-1 Morton | Championship |
| Jan 2, 2024 | Morton 3-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Morton | Championship |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Morton 3-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Ayr Utd 1-1 Morton | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2023 | Morton 1-3 Ayr Utd | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Morton score 0.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Morton | 0.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayr Utd sit 5th in Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Morton sit 9th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Morton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy