Ayr Utd vs Morton: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
Full time
What was the result of Ayr Utd vs Morton?
Ayr Utd won 2-1 on October 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 45′M. RusAyr Utd
- 76′C. BallantyneMorton
- 87′B. DempseyAyr Utd
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Morton have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | ST Johnstone(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Airdrie United(home) | 4-2 | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Dunfermline(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Ross County(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Partick(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Airdrie United(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Ross County(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Arbroath(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Queen's Park(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ayr Utd win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Morton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Morton 2-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Morton 2-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Ayr Utd 0-0 Morton | Championship |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Ayr Utd 2-0 Morton | FA Cup |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Morton 1-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Ayr Utd 1-0 Morton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Morton score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Morton | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayr Utd sit 5th in Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Morton sit 9th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Morton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy