Ayr Utd vs Morton: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 29, 2020 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
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What was the result of Ayr Utd vs Morton?
Ayr Utd and Morton drew 1-1 on December 29, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 26′A. NesbittMorton (pen.)
- 38′L. McCowanAyr Utd
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Morton have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2020 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 3-5 | Championship |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Arbroath(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 11, 2020 | Raith Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Livingston(away) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2020 | Queen of the South(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Dunfermline(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Arbroath(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Partick(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ayr Utd win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Morton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2020 | Morton 3-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2020 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Morton | Championship |
| Oct 29, 2019 | Morton 2-3 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Aug 3, 2019 | Ayr Utd 4-2 Morton | Championship |
| Apr 2, 2019 | Ayr Utd 1-1 Morton | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Morton 0-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Morton score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Morton | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayr Utd sit 5th in Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Morton sit 9th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Morton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy