Ayutthaya FC vs Uthai Thani: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ayutthaya Stadium, Ayutthaya
The Footlab model makes Ayutthaya FC the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Uthai Thani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayutthaya FC vs Uthai Thani?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Ayutthaya FC (1,602) and Uthai Thani (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayutthaya FC have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Uthai Thani have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ayutthaya FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Uthai Thani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC 0-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Uthai Thani 1-4 Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 29, 2023 | Uthai Thani 3-2 Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Ayutthaya FC 1-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Ayutthaya FC 0-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Uthai Thani 2-2 Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ayutthaya FC vs Uthai Thani on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ayutthaya FC score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Uthai Thani score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayutthaya FC | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Uthai Thani | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayutthaya FC sit 10th in Thai League 1 (32 points from 30 matches) and Uthai Thani sit 11th (31 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ayutthaya FC | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayutthaya FC vs Uthai Thani?
- The Footlab model makes Ayutthaya FC the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Uthai Thani.
- Where and when is Ayutthaya FC vs Uthai Thani played?
- Ayutthaya FC vs Uthai Thani is played on September 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ayutthaya Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.