AZ Alkmaar vs Aston Villa: result 1-4 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 26, 2023 at 04:45 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
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What was the result of AZ Alkmaar vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa won 1-4 on October 26, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 13′L. BaileyAston Villa
- 23′Y. TielemansAston Villa
- 51′O. WatkinsAston Villa
- 56′J. McGinnAston Villa
- 65′I. SadiqAZ Alkmaar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AZ Alkmaar have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Aston Villa have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Heerenveen(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Ajax(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Heracles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2023 | West Ham(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Wolves(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Zrinjski(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Brighton(home) | 6-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Everton(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AZ Alkmaar score 2.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.4 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Aston Villa | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy