Azam vs Mbabane Swallows: result 1-0 and analysis
CAF Confederation Cup1st RoundKick-off on March 12, 2017 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Azam Complex Stadium, Mbagala
Full time
What was the result of Azam vs Mbabane Swallows?
Azam won 1-0 on March 12, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azam have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Mbabane Swallows have 2, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | Stand United(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 19, 2017 | Mwadui(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Ruvu Shooting(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 5, 2017 | Ndanda(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Simba(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | Orapa United(home) | 3-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Orapa United(away) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Azam score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mbabane Swallows score 2.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azam | 1.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Mbabane Swallows | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Azam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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