Fountain Gate vs Azam: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Liti Stadium, Singida
The Footlab AI model makes Azam the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Fountain Gate. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fountain Gate vs Azam?
Azam is a heavy favourite: 1,850 Elo points against 1,486, a 365-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fountain Gate vs Azam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fountain Gate
4-3-3- 22S. Said
- 20A. Athuman
- 27Hashimu Kindemile
- 9C. Obasi
- 60S. Mgunda
- 49J. Mwansasu
- 15D. Mukombozi
- 6O. Awara
- 29J. Shiga
- 19A. Mtambi
- 18I. Parapanda
Azam
4-3-3- 27H. Mubiru
- 7Z. Sereri
- 19G. Sillah
- 23H. Mao
- 10K. Zunon
- 6F. Salum
- 5L. Mwaikenda
- 12P. Msindo
- 22H. Stanic
- 2N. Idumba
- 32Z. Foba
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fountain Gate have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Azam have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Namungo(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 2-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fountain Gate wins, 1 draw, 5 Azam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Fountain Gate 0-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Azam 0-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Fountain Gate 2-3 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Azam 2-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Fountain Gate 0-1 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Azam 2-1 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Azam on Jun 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fountain Gate score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Azam score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fountain Gate | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Azam | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fountain Gate sit 16th in Ligi kuu Bara (4 points from 7 matches) and Azam sit 3rd (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Fountain Gate vs Azam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fountain Gate vs Azam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Azam the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Fountain Gate.
- Where and when is Fountain Gate vs Azam played?
- Fountain Gate vs Azam is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Liti Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.