Babrungas vs Minija: prediction and stats
1 LygaFinalKick-off on November 11, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Plungės dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Plungė
The Footlab AI model makes Minija the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Babrungas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Minija wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,175 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Babrungas vs Minija?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Babrungas (1,559) and Minija (1,505).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Babrungas vs Minija
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Babrungas
4-3-3- 9Pedro Bahia
- 7P. Borja
- 10Robinho
- 22L. Cepkauskas
- 5A. Latakas
- 6S. B. Ajayi
- 11M. Skirmantas
- 8K. Mantinis
- 14T. Budrys
- 3A. Barusas
- 99D. Kublickas
Minija
4-3-3- 45K. Aderounmu
- 7Julius Kasparavičius
- 21L. Zingertas
- 6M. A. Sidibe
- 14N. Komissarov
- 9D. Nwegbo
- 43B. Diawara
- 3E. Mockus
- 4M. Diawara
- 5E. Kirjanov
- 2V. Gaudiešius
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 04:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Babrungas have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Minija have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 4-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Be1 NFA(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hegelmann II(home) | 4-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Minija(away) | 3-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 3-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | BFA(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Babrungas wins, 1 draw, 0 Minija wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Minija 2-3 Babrungas | 1 Lyga |
| May 29, 2026 | Babrungas 1-0 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Minija 0-1 Babrungas | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Babrungas 1-0 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Minija 0-4 Babrungas | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Babrungas 0-0 Minija | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Babrungas score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Minija score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Babrungas | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Minija | 2.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Babrungas sit 2nd in 1 Lyga (74 points from 30 matches) and Minija sit 1st (74 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 79 | 22 | 74 |
| 2 | Babrungas | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 56 | 15 | 74 |
A question about Babrungas vs Minija?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Babrungas vs Minija?
- The Footlab AI model makes Minija the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Babrungas.
- Where and when is Babrungas vs Minija played?
- Babrungas vs Minija is played on November 11, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Plungės dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.