Backnang vs Normannia Gmünd: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Etzwiesenstadion, Backnang
The Footlab model makes Backnang the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Normannia Gmünd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Backnang vs Normannia Gmünd?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Backnang (1,768) and Normannia Gmünd (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Backnang have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Normannia Gmünd have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Nöttingen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teningen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 30, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 23, 2026 | Göppinger SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC 08 Villingen(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Nöttingen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teningen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | FV Ravensburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Backnang win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Normannia Gmünd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Normannia Gmünd 1-2 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Backnang 2-1 Normannia Gmünd | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 10, 2025 | Normannia Gmünd 1-2 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Backnang 1-2 Normannia Gmünd | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Normannia Gmünd 0-0 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Backnang 1-1 Normannia Gmünd | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
Last archived meeting: Normannia Gmünd vs Backnang on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Backnang score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Normannia Gmünd score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backnang | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Normannia Gmünd | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Backnang sit 1st in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (9 points from 3 matches) and Normannia Gmünd sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Backnang | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 18 | Normannia Gmünd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Backnang vs Normannia Gmünd?
- The Footlab model makes Backnang the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Normannia Gmünd.
- Where and when is Backnang vs Normannia Gmünd played?
- Backnang vs Normannia Gmünd is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Etzwiesenstadion, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027FC HolzhausenvsFC 08 Villingen
- Mar 13, 2027Bahlinger SCvsFC Nöttingen
- Mar 13, 2027OberachernvsReutlingen
- Mar 13, 2027EssingenvsKarlsruhe II
- Mar 13, 2027BalingenvsFV Ravensburg
- Mar 14, 2027Türkspor NeckarsulmvsCFR Pforzheim
- Mar 14, 2027TSV SingenvsTeningen
- Mar 14, 2027Young Boys Reutlingenvs1. FC Muhlhausen