Backnang vs Oberachern: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Etzwiesenstadion, Backnang
The Footlab model makes Oberachern the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Backnang. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Backnang vs Oberachern?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Backnang (1,770) and Oberachern (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Backnang have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Oberachern have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Nöttingen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teningen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 30, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 23, 2026 | Göppinger SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Teningen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(away) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Karlsruhe II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 30, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 23, 2026 | VfR Aalen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Backnang win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Oberachern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Backnang 3-2 Oberachern | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Oberachern 2-2 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 24, 2025 | Backnang 1-0 Oberachern | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Oberachern 2-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Backnang 0-0 Oberachern | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Oberachern 2-0 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
Last archived meeting: Backnang vs Oberachern on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Backnang score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oberachern score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backnang | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Oberachern | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Backnang sit 1st in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (9 points from 3 matches) and Oberachern sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Backnang | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Oberachern | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Backnang vs Oberachern?
- The Footlab model makes Oberachern the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Backnang.
- Where and when is Backnang vs Oberachern played?
- Backnang vs Oberachern is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Etzwiesenstadion, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026CFR PforzheimvsBalingen
- Sep 19, 2026FC 08 VillingenvsTSV Singen
- Sep 19, 2026Normannia GmündvsFC Holzhausen
- Sep 19, 2026TeningenvsEssingen
- Sep 19, 2026FC NöttingenvsYoung Boys Reutlingen
- Sep 19, 2026ReutlingenvsBahlinger SC
- Sep 20, 2026Karlsruhe IIvsFV Ravensburg
- Sep 20, 20261. FC MuhlhausenvsTürkspor Neckarsulm