Match

Teningen vs Essingen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Friedrich-Meyer-Stadion, Teningen

TeningenEssingen

The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Teningen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Teningen vs Essingen?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Teningen (1,705) and Essingen (1,777).

Teningen win33 %
Draw22 %
Essingen win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Teningen have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Essingen have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Teningen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Oberachern(away)1-2Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 15, 2026Backnang(home)1-4Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 8, 2026Normannia Gmünd(away)3-2Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Jan 27, 2024Offenburger FV(away)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2011FC Schalke 04(home)1-11DFB Pokal
Essingen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Türkspor Neckarsulm(home)1-2Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 15, 2026Balingen(home)3-1Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Aug 8, 2026Young Boys Reutlingen(away)1-1Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Jul 12, 2026Ansbach(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 4, 2026Memmingen(away)5-3Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Teningen score 2.0 and concede 4.0 goals per match over their last 5; Essingen score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Teningen2.04.005/55/5
Essingen1.81.9212/1511/15

Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Teningen sit 12th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (3 points from 3 matches) and Essingen sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Essingen3111544
12Teningen3102583

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Teningen vs Essingen?
The Footlab model makes Essingen the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Teningen.
Where and when is Teningen vs Essingen played?
Teningen vs Essingen is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Friedrich-Meyer-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Teningen and Essingen

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