Badalona vs San Cristóbal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Badalona, Badalona
The Footlab model makes Badalona the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for San Cristóbal. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badalona vs San Cristóbal?
Badalona starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,802 vs 1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badalona have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; San Cristóbal have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 31, 2026 | Cornellà(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 24, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 17, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2026 | Vic(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Europa II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tona(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Badalona win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 San Cristóbal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Badalona 1-0 San Cristóbal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | San Cristóbal 0-1 Badalona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Badalona vs San Cristóbal on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Badalona score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; San Cristóbal score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badalona | 1.2 | 1.2 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| San Cristóbal | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | San Cristóbal | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 48 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badalona vs San Cristóbal?
- The Footlab model makes Badalona the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for San Cristóbal.
- Where and when is Badalona vs San Cristóbal played?
- Badalona vs San Cristóbal is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Badalona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.