Europa II vs Montañesa: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal de Futbol Nou Sardenya, Barcelona
The Footlab model makes Europa II the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Montañesa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Europa II vs Montañesa?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Europa II (1,734) and Montañesa (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Europa II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Montañesa have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Cristóbal(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Montañesa(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Vic(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Europa II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Montañesa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Europa II 4-2 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Montañesa 2-0 Europa II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Europa II 2-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Montañesa 1-3 Europa II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Europa II vs Montañesa on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Europa II score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Montañesa score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa II | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Montañesa | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Europa II sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (45 points from 34 matches) and Montañesa sit 11th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Europa II | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 53 | 45 |
| 11 | Montañesa | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 39 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Europa II vs Montañesa?
- The Footlab model makes Europa II the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Montañesa.
- Where and when is Europa II vs Montañesa played?
- Europa II vs Montañesa is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal de Futbol Nou Sardenya, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.