Baden vs Mendrisio: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 3Group 3 - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Esp, Fislisbach
The Footlab AI model makes Baden the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Mendrisio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Baden wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,911 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baden vs Mendrisio?
On Elo ratings, Baden has 1,632 points and Mendrisio 1,589.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baden vs Mendrisio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baden
4-3-3- 26G. Furrer
- 27D. Giampà
- 44M. Hanke
- 10R. Laski
- 23M. Spielmann
- 6S. Cirelli
- 13J. Fontana
- 2T. Pachonik
- 4P. Muff
- 43F. Gloor
- 18A. Mossi
Mendrisio
Not enough data to predict the Mendrisio lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 03:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baden have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Mendrisio have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Thalwil(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Widnau(home) | 6-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Wohlen(home) | 2-1 | Erste Liga Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gossau(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Taverne(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Taverne(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Locarno(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kosova(home) | 3-1 | Erste Liga Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dietikon(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tuggen(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Baden win, 1 draw, 0 Mendrisio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Baden 1-1 Mendrisio | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Mendrisio 1-4 Baden | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Baden score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mendrisio score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baden | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Mendrisio | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baden sit 5th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 (16 points from 9 matches) and Mendrisio sit 12th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baden | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | Mendrisio | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Baden vs Mendrisio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baden vs Mendrisio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Baden the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Mendrisio.
- Where and when is Baden vs Mendrisio played?
- Baden vs Mendrisio is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Esp, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.