Match

Locarno vs Freienbach: prediction and stats

1. Liga Classic - Group 3Group 3 - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio del Lido, Locarno

LocarnoFreienbach

The Footlab AI model makes Locarno the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Freienbach. The most likely score is 1-1. If Locarno wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,911 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Locarno vs Freienbach?

On Elo ratings, Locarno has 1,618 points and Freienbach 1,573.

51%23%26%
Locarno winDrawFreienbach win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Locarno vs Freienbach

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Locarno

Not enough data to predict the Locarno lineup.

Freienbach

4-3-3
  1. KK. Marty
  2. MM. Stevic
  3. LL. Straub
  1. TTiago Ribeiro
  2. DD. D'Acunto
  3. MM. Döttling
  1. MM. Carpy
  2. MM. Desole
  3. RR. Seeholzer
  4. AA. Stumpo
  1. RR. Mühlemann

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 03:14 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Locarno have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Freienbach have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Locarno
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Collina d'Oro(home)0-21. Liga Classic - Group 3
Oct 24, 2026Mendrisio(away)0-01. Liga Classic - Group 3
Oct 18, 2026Concordia Lausanne(away)2-1Erste Liga Cup
Oct 10, 2026Kosova(home)1-01. Liga Classic - Group 3
Oct 3, 2026Thalwil(away)2-21. Liga Classic - Group 3
Freienbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Tuggen(away)2-11. Liga Classic - Group 3
Oct 24, 2026Wettswil-Bonstetten(home)1-21. Liga Classic - Group 3
Oct 17, 2026Wettswil-Bonstetten(home)3-1Erste Liga Cup
Oct 10, 2026St. Gallen II(away)0-11. Liga Classic - Group 3
Oct 7, 2026Eschen / Mauren(home)0-01. Liga Classic - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Locarno score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Freienbach score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Locarno1.11.258/158/15
Freienbach1.41.539/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Locarno sit 14th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 (7 points from 9 matches) and Freienbach sit 10th (10 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Freienbach9243111410
14Locarno914411137

A question about Locarno vs Freienbach?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Locarno vs Freienbach?
The Footlab AI model makes Locarno the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Freienbach.
Where and when is Locarno vs Freienbach played?
Locarno vs Freienbach is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio del Lido, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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