Baghdad vs Karbala: result 3-1 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 23, 2023 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Bagdad Stadium, Bagdad
Full time
What was the result of Baghdad vs Karbala?
Baghdad won 3-1 on December 23, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 18′Karar BariBaghdad
- 43′Mateus TotôBaghdad
- 87′Mateus TotôBaghdad
- 90′Redha FadelKarbala
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baghdad have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Karbala have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2023 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 14, 2023 | Al Najaf(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Naft(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Al Shorta(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Al Hudod(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2023 | Al Talaba(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Naft(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Newroz(away) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Baghdad score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Karbala score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baghdad | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Karbala | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Karbala | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy