Bahia vs Atletico-MG: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 21, 2014 at 11:50 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Atletico-MG?
Bahia and Atletico-MG drew 1-1 on October 21, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 54′LuanAtletico-MG
- 85′Guilherme SantosBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico-MG have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2014 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2014 | Santos(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Fluminense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Flamengo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2014 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2014 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2014 | Fluminense(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Criciuma(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Vitoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bahia win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2014 | Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2013 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2012 | Bahia 0-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2012 | Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2011 | Bahia 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 8th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy