Bahia vs Atletico-MG: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 4Kick-off on June 12, 2011 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Atletico-MG?
Bahia and Atletico-MG drew 1-1 on June 12, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 50′Rodrigo de Souza CardosoBahia (pen.)
- 76′Neto BerolaAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico-MG have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2011 | Gremio(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2011 | Flamengo(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2011 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2011 | Sao Paulo(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 28, 2011 | Avai(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 28, 2010 | Goias(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 21, 2010 | Palmeiras(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 3; Atletico-MG score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 8th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy