Sao Paulo vs Gremio: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 4Kick-off on June 11, 2011 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
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What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
Sao Paulo won 3-1 on June 11, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 13′CasemiroSao Paulo
- 52′CasemiroGremio (o.g.)
- 62′MarlosSao Paulo
- 84′Jean RaphaelSao Paulo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gremio have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2011 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2011 | Figueirense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2011 | Fluminense(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 28, 2010 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 21, 2010 | Fluminense(home) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2011 | Bahia(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2011 | Corinthians(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 28, 2010 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2010 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sao Paulo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2010 | Gremio 4-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2010 | Sao Paulo 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 2.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Gremio | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 13th in Serie A (27 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy