Bahia vs Atletico-MG: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 19, 2020 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Roberto Santos, Salvador de Bahia, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Atletico-MG?
Bahia won 3-1 on October 19, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 21′J. SavarinoAtletico-MG
- 69′DanielBahia
- 80′GilbertoBahia
- 89′GilbertoBahia
Official lineup for Bahia vs Atletico-MG
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Bahia
4-4-2- 25Clayson
- 36Ramon
- 70Fessin
- 35Edson Fernando
- 26Gregore
- 5Elias
- 29Juninho Capixaba
- 40Juninho
- 28Lucas Silva Fonseca
- 14Ernando Rodrigues Lopes
- 1Douglas Friedrich
Atletico-MG
4-1-4-1- 11Keno
- 18Eduardo Sasha
- 21A. Franco
- 23Nathan
- 70J. Savarino
- 8Jair
- 2Guga
- 13Guilherme Arana
- 3J. Alonso
- 4Réver
- 31Everson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Atletico-MG have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2020 | Goias(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Fluminense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2020 | Botafogo(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2020 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Goias(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 8, 2020 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Gremio(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bahia wins, 3 draws, 1 Atletico-MG win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2019 | Bahia 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Atletico-MG 0-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2018 | Bahia 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Bahia 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2017 | Atletico-MG 0-2 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 5th in Serie A (49 points from 30 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 7th (47 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 49 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 47 |
A question about Bahia vs Atletico-MG?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy