Bahia vs Corinthians: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on June 30, 2011 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Corinthians?
Corinthians won 0-1 on June 30, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 13′Anderson Sebastião CardosoCorinthians (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Corinthians have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 18, 2011 | Fluminense(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2011 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 5, 2011 | Gremio(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2011 | Flamengo(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2011 | Sao Paulo(home) | 5-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2011 | Fluminense(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 5, 2011 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2011 | Coritiba(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2011 | Gremio(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 6; Corinthians score 1.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
| Corinthians | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Corinthians sit 10th (32 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy