Bahia vs Cruzeiro: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 18Kick-off on September 5, 2013 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Cruzeiro?
Cruzeiro won 1-3 on September 5, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 25′Humberlito Borges TeixeiraCruzeiro
- 40′Éverton RibeiroCruzeiro
- 69′Leandro Fahel MatosBahia
- 90′Júlio César Clement BaptistaCruzeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cruzeiro have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2013 | Portuguesa(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 18, 2013 | Santos(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2013 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2013 | Gremio(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2013 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Vitoria(home) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2013 | Gremio(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2013 | Santos(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Bahia win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cruzeiro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2012 | Cruzeiro 3-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Bahia 0-1 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2011 | Bahia 0-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2011 | Cruzeiro 2-1 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cruzeiro score 2.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Cruzeiro | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Cruzeiro sit 5th (39 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy