Cruzeiro vs Bahia: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 11, 2012 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Cruzeiro won 3-1 on November 11, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 28′Leandro Fahel MatosBahia
- 54′A. MartinuccioCruzeiro
- 68′A. MartinuccioCruzeiro
- 90′Willian Henrique AntunesCruzeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruzeiro have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bahia have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2012 | Santos(home) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2012 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2012 | Corinthians(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2012 | Portuguesa(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Gremio(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2012 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Coritiba(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Cruzeiro win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2012 | Bahia 0-1 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2011 | Bahia 0-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2011 | Cruzeiro 2-1 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruzeiro score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Bahia | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruzeiro sit 5th in Serie A (39 points from 24 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy