Bahia vs Flamengo: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 28, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Flamengo?
Bahia won 2-1 on September 28, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 18′Emanuel Adrián Biancucchi CuccitiniBahia
- 49′Emanuel Adrián Biancucchi CuccitiniBahia (pen.)
- 62′Eduardo da SilvaFlamengo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Flamengo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2014 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Vitoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2014 | Botafogo(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Figueirense(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2014 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2014 | Sao Paulo(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2014 | Palmeiras(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Corinthians(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2014 | Goias(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bahia win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Flamengo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2014 | Flamengo 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2013 | Flamengo 2-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2012 | Flamengo 0-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Bahia 1-2 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2011 | Flamengo 1-3 Bahia | Serie A |
| May 29, 2011 | Bahia 3-3 Flamengo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Flamengo score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Flamengo | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Flamengo sit 2nd (45 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy