Sao Paulo vs Fluminense: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 28, 2014 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Fluminense?
Fluminense won 1-3 on September 28, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 53′Frederico Chaves GuedesFluminense
- 57′Alexandre PatoSao Paulo
- 73′Wagner Ferreira dos SantosFluminense
- 90′Dário ConcaFluminense
Official lineup for Sao Paulo vs Fluminense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sao Paulo
- AAlexandre Pato
- AAlan Kardec
- KKaká
- DDenílson Pereira Neves
- SSouza
- PPH Ganso
- AAntônio Carlos
- ÉÉdson Silva
- ÁÁlvaro Daniel Pereira Barragán
- AAuro
- RRogério Mücke Ceni
Fluminense
- FFrederico Chaves Guedes
- RRafinha
- CCícero
- WWagner Ferreira dos Santos
- DDário Conca
- JJean Raphael
- BBruno
- EElivelton
- MMarlon
- CChiquinho
- DDiego Cavalieri
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Fluminense have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2014 | Flamengo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Corinthians(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2014 | Coritiba(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2014 | Botafogo(away) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2014 | Gremio(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2014 | Vitoria(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Palmeiras(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2014 | Figueirense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sao Paulo win, 1 draw, 4 Fluminense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2014 | Fluminense 5-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Nov 17, 2013 | Fluminense 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Sao Paulo 1-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Aug 10, 2012 | Fluminense 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2011 | Sao Paulo 1-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Sao Paulo on May 22, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 10th in Serie A (39 points from 30 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (51 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 39 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Fluminense?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy