Bahia vs Joinville: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 3Kick-off on May 25, 2016 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Joinville?
Bahia won 1-0 on May 25, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 55′HernaneBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Joinville have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2016 | Parana(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| May 19, 2016 | America Mineiro(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 15, 2016 | Avai(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| May 12, 2016 | America Mineiro(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 7, 2016 | Globo(home) | 3-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2016 | Criciuma(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| May 17, 2016 | Ceara(away) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 15, 2016 | Luverdense(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 11, 2016 | Ceara(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 4, 2016 | Comercial MS(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Joinville score 0.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Joinville | 0.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy