Bahia vs Retrô: result 3-2 and analysis
Copa Do BrasilRound of 16Kick-off on July 30, 2025 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Retrô?
Bahia won 3-2 on July 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 18′L. RodríguezBahia
- 19′L. RodríguezBahia
- 32′Diego GuerraRetrô
- 79′Willian JoséBahia
- 86′Franklin MascoteRetrô
Official lineup for Bahia vs Retrô
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Bahia
4-2-3-1- 99Vágner Love
- 15Tales
- 17Diego Guerra
- 20Gledson
- 26I. Ly
- 18R. Franco
- 6Gustavo Salomão
- 4Rayan
- 3Robson Reis
- 25Eduardo
- 12Fabián Volpi
Retrô
- 17L. Rodríguez
- 37Kayky
- 2Gilberto
- 8Cauly
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
- 15M. Araújo
- 25Iago
- 26N. Acevedo
- 3Gabriel Xavier
- 21S. Ramos
- 96Ronaldo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Retrô have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | Juventude(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2025 | America de Cali(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2025 | America de Cali(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Ypiranga-RS(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Brusque(away) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 14, 2025 | CSA(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Ituano(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Londrina(home) | 0-4 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Retrô score 0.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.5 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Retrô | 0.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Bahia vs Retrô?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy