Bahia vs Vila Nova: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on July 6, 2016 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Vila Nova?
Vila Nova won 0-1 on July 6, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 56′Fabio Souza dos SantosVila Nova
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Vila Nova have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2016 | Ceara(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 28, 2016 | Oeste(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Brasil DE Pelotas(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 21, 2016 | Tupi(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 18, 2016 | Londrina(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2016 | Tupi(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 28, 2016 | Avai(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Goias(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 22, 2016 | Criciuma(home) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Jun 19, 2016 | Oeste(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vila Nova score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Vila Nova | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vila Nova | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy