Baicoi vs Săcele: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 22Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Petrolul, Băicoi
The Footlab model makes Baicoi the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Săcele. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baicoi vs Săcele?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Baicoi (1,417) and Săcele (1,354).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baicoi have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Săcele have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Berca(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 8, 2026 | Săcele(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Corona Braşov(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(home) | 2-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Pucioasa(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 8, 2026 | Baicoi(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Valenii de Munte(home) | 7-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Baicoi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Săcele win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Baicoi 4-2 Săcele | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Baicoi 2-1 Săcele | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Săcele 1-3 Baicoi | Liga III - Serie 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Baicoi score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Săcele score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baicoi | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Săcele | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baicoi vs Săcele?
- The Footlab model makes Baicoi the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Săcele.
- Where and when is Baicoi vs Săcele played?
- Baicoi vs Săcele is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Petrolul, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.