BAK '07 vs FC Lok Stendal: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Poststadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes BAK '07 the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for FC Lok Stendal. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BAK '07 vs FC Lok Stendal?
BAK '07 starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,712 vs 1,571).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BAK '07 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; FC Lok Stendal have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Optik Rathenow(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 17, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Neustrelitz(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Anker Wismar(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MSV Neuruppin(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
BAK '07 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lok Stendal score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAK '07 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Lok Stendal | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BAK '07 sit 4th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (4 points from 2 matches) and FC Lok Stendal sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BAK '07 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Lok Stendal | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BAK '07 vs FC Lok Stendal?
- The Footlab model makes BAK '07 the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for FC Lok Stendal.
- Where and when is BAK '07 vs FC Lok Stendal played?
- BAK '07 vs FC Lok Stendal is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Poststadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Optik RathenowvsAnker Wismar
- Oct 25, 2026Eintracht MahlsdorfvsHertha Zehlendorf
- Oct 25, 2026NeustrelitzvsUnion Klosterfelde
- Oct 25, 2026Sparta LichtenbergvsMakkabi
- Oct 25, 2026Mecklenburg SchwerinvsLichtenberg
- Oct 25, 2026Reinickendorfer FuchsevsTennis Borussia
- Oct 25, 2026SiedenbollentinvsHansa Rostock II