Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Lankow, Schwerin
The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Mecklenburg Schwerin. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Lichtenberg?
Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 272-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mecklenburg Schwerin have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Lichtenberg have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Makkabi(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Makkabi(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Optik Rathenow(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dresden II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Mecklenburg Schwerin score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lichtenberg score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mecklenburg Schwerin | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Lichtenberg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mecklenburg Schwerin sit 2nd in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (4 points from 2 matches) and Lichtenberg sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mecklenburg Schwerin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Lichtenberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Mecklenburg Schwerin.
- Where and when is Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Lichtenberg played?
- Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Lichtenberg is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Lankow, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026BAK '07vsFC Lok Stendal
- Oct 25, 2026Optik RathenowvsAnker Wismar
- Oct 25, 2026Eintracht MahlsdorfvsHertha Zehlendorf
- Oct 25, 2026NeustrelitzvsUnion Klosterfelde
- Oct 25, 2026Sparta LichtenbergvsMakkabi
- Oct 25, 2026Reinickendorfer FuchsevsTennis Borussia
- Oct 25, 2026SiedenbollentinvsHansa Rostock II