Match

Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Lichtenberg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Lankow, Schwerin

Mecklenburg SchwerinLichtenberg

The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Mecklenburg Schwerin. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Lichtenberg?

Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 272-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,622).

Mecklenburg Schwerin win31 %
Draw22 %
Lichtenberg win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mecklenburg Schwerin have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Lichtenberg have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mecklenburg Schwerin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Sparta Lichtenberg(away)1-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026Makkabi(home)2-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jan 10, 2024Hansa Rostock II(away)1-5Friendlies Clubs
Jun 10, 2023Makkabi(away)0-4Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jun 3, 2023Optik Rathenow(home)1-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Lichtenberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Union Klosterfelde(away)1-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026Neustrelitz(home)3-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 18, 2026Dresden II(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-9Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026Tennis Borussia(home)0-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

How many goals should we expect?

Mecklenburg Schwerin score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lichtenberg score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mecklenburg Schwerin1.32.5111/1513/15
Lichtenberg1.51.939/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mecklenburg Schwerin sit 2nd in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (4 points from 2 matches) and Lichtenberg sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Mecklenburg Schwerin2110324
8Lichtenberg2101443

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Lichtenberg?
The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Mecklenburg Schwerin.
Where and when is Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Lichtenberg played?
Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Lichtenberg is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Lankow, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mecklenburg Schwerin and Lichtenberg

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