Where and when is BAK '07 vs Lichtenberg played?

BAK '07 vs Lichtenberg is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Poststadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

BAK '07 vs Lichtenberg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 29Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Poststadion, Berlin

BAK '07

Lichtenberg

The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for BAK '07. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BAK '07 vs Lichtenberg?

Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,712).

BAK '07 win32 %

Draw22 %

Lichtenberg win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BAK '07 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lichtenberg have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BAK '07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Reinickendorfer Fuchse(home)	2-1	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026	Optik Rathenow(away)	0-0	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 17, 2026	BFC Dynamo(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026	Neustrelitz(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 17, 2026	Union Klosterfelde(home)	3-0	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

Lichtenberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Union Klosterfelde(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026	Neustrelitz(home)	3-2	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 18, 2026	Dresden II(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	0-9	Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026	Tennis Borussia(home)	0-1	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 BAK '07 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lichtenberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Lichtenberg 4-4 BAK '07	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Dec 13, 2025	BAK '07 4-5 Lichtenberg	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 3, 2025	BAK '07 3-2 Lichtenberg	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Nov 2, 2024	Lichtenberg 2-1 BAK '07	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Apr 1, 2023	Lichtenberg 0-2 BAK '07	Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 16, 2022	BAK '07 6-0 Lichtenberg	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Lichtenberg vs BAK '07 on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BAK '07 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lichtenberg score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
BAK '07	1.3	2.1	4	7/15	10/15
Lichtenberg	1.5	1.9	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BAK '07 sit 4th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (4 points from 2 matches) and Lichtenberg sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	BAK '07	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
8	Lichtenberg	2	1	0	1	4	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BAK '07 vs Lichtenberg?: The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for BAK '07.
Where and when is BAK '07 vs Lichtenberg played?: BAK '07 vs Lichtenberg is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Poststadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.